Showing posts with label Ben Bernanke. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ben Bernanke. Show all posts

Monday, March 16, 2009

The Fed is printing money.



Part one



Part two

Well, Ben Bernanke last night on 60 minutes confirmed what we all knew. While it is the job of the Fed to control the money supply, the Fed is printing money at an unprecedented rate, and the result will ultimately be inflationary. I had to rewind my DVR to hear him say it again. Imagine if you have a bank account, and you run short of funds. You call up your bank and ask the bank manager if he wouldn't mind just increasing your balance because you are short of funds. What do you think your bank manager would say? Well, this is what Ben Bernanke said the Fed is doing with these failed banks.

Moreover, Bernanke said it is not tax money? Hmmm, maybe not now, but it sure will be. There are two ways this will hit the average American. When there is too much money in the system, inflation occurs. Inflation is a hidden tax that eats at the purchasing power of your money. Second taxes will inevitably increase on everyone when the government cannot pay its increase debt from its massive spending.

"It's not tax money. The banks have accounts with the Fed, much the same way that you have an account in a commercial bank. So, to lend to a bank, we simply use the computer to mark up the size of the account that they have with the Fed. It's much more akin to printing money than it is to borrowing."

"You've been printing money?" Pelley asked.

"Well, effectively," Bernanke said. "And we need to do that, because our economy is very weak and inflation is very low. When the economy begins to recover, that will be the time that we need to unwind those programs, raise interest rates, reduce the money supply, and make sure that we have a recovery that does not involve inflation."


To say that we can have a recovery that does not involve inflation with the amount of money that is being added to the money supply is wishful thinking.

Ben Bernanke did say that one of the major reasons for the Great Depression was because of tight money, and he is right. I just wonder if going down the hyperinflation road of Germany's Weinmar Republic or Argentina is the right answer. The markets apparently liked Bernanke's remarks.

In any event, everyone should watch the 60 minute segment with Bernanke. Alan Greenspan never gave an interview during his tenure.

I do have one recommendation on investing at this juncture. Buy Treasury Inflation Protection Securities,(TIPS). The interest rates are low now but they protect against inflation.

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Throwing pancakes at the wall Bernanke style


"I've abandoned free-market principles to save the free-market system"

President George W. Bush

"Obama's stimulus plan makes as much sense as paying my wife and kids to work for me to increase the cash flow in our household"

A reader from the wall street journal


 

Isn't that an astounding admission from a President of the United States? In other words, we have turned to socialism to save the free-market. Sounds like a bunch of bull crap to me. The reader of the Wall Street Journal also has it right. Bush is the next Hoover trying to fix this economic mess and in the process, he only makes it worse. Obama is going to be the next Roosevelt whose ideas so far are only going to compound the problem. Obama wants to spend more money with his huge so-called stimulus plan. The government cannot spend money to create jobs without first removing the money from the economy. The government doesn't create GDP, it reduces it. What is it these two doofuses don't understand?

Even Europe is beginning to understand socialism is not the answer.

Bernanke has been throwing pancakes at the wall to see which one will stick, but none are sticking, they keep falling to the ground. Each economic policy Bernanke struggles to implement is like the pancake with its farinaceous sticky mass, not quite done, that is hurled in the air. It binds to the wall - the stock market goes up, but then the pancake struggles to cling to the wall. Strands of the sticky substance are formed and stretched. The pancake can no longer hold on to the wall – it struggles but to no avail. The pancake slowly falls to the floor like the stock market dropping when investors realize that the Fed implemented just another stupid economic policy that will not work.

The Fed is now giving out free money - how is that for liquidity? The Fed has been adding reserves to the banking system beyond what is necessary to keep the rate at its target as explained by Liz Ann Sonders of Charles Schwab. Interest rates are now virtually -0- - Free money. So, if you have a money market fund invested in treasuries, you could essentially have a negative yield since there is still an expense the company charges you for the privilege of having the money market fund. But that is not all; The Fed is now implementing a strategy it calls "quantitative easing." Since interest rates are now at 0, the Fed can't do anything with interest rates, therefore it is now flooding the banking system with money by purchasing securities supplying the banks with more liquidity and printing more money "quantitative easing." This is unprecedented and it has never been done before. This world has gone completely insane.

So what will this do to your savings? It is nothing more than the government robbing you blind. Injecting so much liquidity will only lead to inflation possibly hyperinflation which in essence is a hidden tax - so much for the mantra, "No new taxes!"

The Fed however is missing the point altogether. This crisis is not due to a lack of liquidity, it is due to a lack of confidence. No one wants to spend. Everyone is saving their money because no one trusts the government or where they will be six months from now. Consumers are deleveraging (paying credit down) instead of spending on other things. As the Wall Street Journal points out, a major tax cut is what needs to happen to spur the economy, but Obama is focused on spending, so he will only increase the deficit, and devalue the dollar. Democrats always think we can spend our way out of an economic crisis, and lately Bush thinks that way too. Obama's spending proposals will not solve this economic crisis.

If Obama were serious about reviving the economy, he would create jobs by drilling offshore and building nuclear power plants, but I am not holding my breath.

I wish Obama the best, but it simply does not look hopeful.

Kudos to Obama for allowing Rick Warren to say the invocation at the inauguration and not bowing to pressure groups.

And why is everyone so worried about Caroline Kennedy's lack of experience? We have a president-elect with no experience. So, what's the beef?

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Ben Bernanke's on the job training


You often hear Hillary say she has the experience to be commander in chief and she will know what to do. She will hit the ground from day one.

Of course, her experience these days seem to be falling on deaf ears. The two most powerful people in the Union are the president of the United States and the Federal Chairman. I would say the Federal chairman has more power than the president insofar as the economy is concerned. Alan Greenspan was one of the best federal chairmen this nation has known. Anyone who lived through the 70s knows the disasterous policies Nixon used with price controls with the inept fed chairman George Miller.

We now are heading into the same direction of George Miller. In Ben Bernake's short tenure thus far, he has already made several missteps. Read Motley Fool's article here. Bernake has proved himself inept. He raises and lowers rates on a whim. He sees things that aren't there. I guess this would be Hillary's definition of "on the job training."

So, we may have a president Obama and a federal chairman Ben Bernanke who seem to have no clue how the economy works. So, there are going to be rocky times ahead. I just hope our portfolios aren't decimated during these trying times.
 
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